We are entering in a difficult cycle whereas figuring out a mid-term position becomes difficult. Charts indicate that we should be shorting the market below 1290 but on the other hand we have strong support @1280 and @1260 with a market that is somewhat oversold short term and may trigger a surprise rally above 1300 before taking the next leg down. As I pointed out in a reply to a comment this morning the monthly chart (attached) could give us a longer term view on what is on the cards for the rest of the year, I see a trend line waiting for confirmation on a monthly lower low to fuel up a rally for the next year, in the meantime a broader trading range can be identified between 1350 and 1200 with a short term focus on a bearish scenario below 1290.
Disclosure: I setup a sell order @1290 with SL @1302 and TP 1200 and a buy order @1303 SL 1293 TP 1347. If both orders go wrong my total risk will be USD 20 on price which have already been booked as a profit. I will not scalp on this scenario but I do see scalping opportunities though for those who like it.
Disclosure: I setup a sell order @1290 with SL @1302 and TP 1200 and a buy order @1303 SL 1293 TP 1347. If both orders go wrong my total risk will be USD 20 on price which have already been booked as a profit. I will not scalp on this scenario but I do see scalping opportunities though for those who like it.
That is good idea.
ReplyDeleteHi Cesar, thank you :) I'm still waiting for a price action indicator, I'm still too new to take chances that is not part of my trading plan or strategy.
ReplyDeleteYour disclosure makes alot of sense form a safe account protection point of view
When you master the will to stay away from the market in uncertain times, you are not considered "new" anymore, that is one of the most important skills to develop. As we say in the motorcycle world "it does not get easier, you just get better at it"
ReplyDeletethanks for the updates sir cesar, for me i have open long SL is 1276 now. i'll take my lose if it hit
ReplyDeleteGood, just make sure you take profit in case that the daily close does not show any strength to the upside.
ReplyDeletethanks cesar, I've bail out on the spike, still my view is bullish if 1276 isn't broken
ReplyDeleteGood.
ReplyDeleteHi Guys, goodl luck trading today. I'm still waiting patiently for my signal to enter.
ReplyDeletemy EJ position closed with good profit for this week, so I'm in no hurry to take any chances.
none the less, good luck to all