Good day to everyone. There is no forecast for today, my long position @1346 is hedged with a short position @1336 and I will be looking for four different scenarios.
1. A extension of the sell off down to 1327 with a reversal up to 1346 (most likely)
2, Below 1327 I would be looking for a reversal up from 1305/12 (less likely)
3. A reversal now to fill the gap and the reach 1358 to then come down again prior to the FED
4. A reversal now to then resume the uptrend to reach 1374
Nothing is clear for me until NY enters in full swing so you pick one of the scenarios as trading develops throughout the NY session. Note that the 10 yr Note (price) came down hard as well so the 10 yr Note direction may indicate which scenario is likely to occur.
1. A extension of the sell off down to 1327 with a reversal up to 1346 (most likely)
2, Below 1327 I would be looking for a reversal up from 1305/12 (less likely)
3. A reversal now to fill the gap and the reach 1358 to then come down again prior to the FED
4. A reversal now to then resume the uptrend to reach 1374
Nothing is clear for me until NY enters in full swing so you pick one of the scenarios as trading develops throughout the NY session. Note that the 10 yr Note (price) came down hard as well so the 10 yr Note direction may indicate which scenario is likely to occur.
the 1 are most likely imo, thank you for the guidance sir cesato
ReplyDeletei have the same as your exact positions. i think it will eaither go to 27 or take off directly from here is the more likely scenario. its very difficult :)
ReplyDeletepositions exactly *
DeleteMe too have the exact positions.
ReplyDeleteThanks Ceasar. Will release hedge around 1327
me too GL man
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